Mr Sascha Nanlohy1
1Institute For Economics and Peace, Australia
Biography:
Dr Sascha Nanlohy is a conflict and security scholar (PhD the University of Sydney 2021), he has publications in Journal of Global Security Studies and Journal of Conflict Resolution. Sascha conducts rigorous analysis for IEP core reports and consulting projects. Dr Nanlohy has significant experience in conflict forecasting as a member of the Atrocity Forecasting Project since 2016. Sascha has served on the board of the International Association of Genocide Scholars and worked for the United States Holocaust Memorial Museum and the Auschwitz Institute for the Prevention of Genocide.
Abstract:
Neither genocide nor external support for perpetrating actors are remnants of a bygone era. They remain a persistent factor in current and future potential conflicts. In most cases of genocide, from Armenia to Rwanda there is an external supporter critical to its occurrence. Despite this clear pattern of external support across continents, time and ideology, this dynamic is almost entirely overlooked. This paper introduces new longitudinal data and analysis of external support in genocide events. This project moves to build the body of evidence in a broader attempt to overcome this persistent hindrance to the prevention of genocide. With few exceptions, the extant genocide studies, international relations and political science literature is focused on domestic factors. There is no available data which captures external support to actor committing genocide or associated types of atrocity crimes hindering quantitative analysis of this issue. The dataset combines and expands upon the UCDP External Support Dataset (1975-2017) and the Targeted Mass Killing dataset (1946-2022) coding external support in every targeted mass killing event to either state or non-state armed actors.